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HomeMIT IDS.333 Risk and Decision Analysis, Fall 2021Unit 2: The Forecast is Always wrong, Video 6: Flaw of Averages 2-the Consequences
MIT IDS.333 Risk and Decision Analysis, Fall 2021
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Unit 2: The Forecast is Always wrong, Video 6: Flaw of Averages 2-the Consequences
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The discussion leads to the simple fact that, to get value the performance of a system correctly, it is necessary to work with the distributions of the inputs. In short, it is essential to simulate system performances (as by using Monte Carlo analysis.)